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Seasonality: how a marketbehaves this time of year.

Forex seasonality looks at how a market has behaved at the same time of year in the past. The Seasonality tool averages years of history into 1 line and marks today on it.

It is not a forecast. It is a tailwind or a headwind you want to know about before you plan a trade.

EURUSD seasonality: the average year10-year averageJFMAMJJASONDToday

What it shows

The average path of a market through the year, based on years of history, with today marked. You see whether the coming weeks have historically been strong, weak or flat.

How to read it

Use it as a tie-breaker. When your bias and the seasonal pattern agree, you have 1 more reason. When they disagree, the bias wins, but you expect a slower move.

Use it in real trading

The tool informs the decision, it never makes it. Here is how it plays out on real trading days.

1
Tailwind

Your bias on EURUSD is bullish, and the next 4 weeks have historically been positive. Both point the same way.

2
Headwind

Gold is bullish, but the season has usually been weak. You keep the idea and give it more time.

Mistakes to avoid

  • Trading seasonality on its own.
  • Using too few years of history.
  • Forgetting that big macro themes override seasonal patterns.

What makes it different

Seasonality sits in the same workspace as the bias and positioning, so you use it as context, not as a signal.

Questions

How many years does the average use?

Years of price history, averaged into 1 line.

Does seasonality work every year?

No. It shows tendencies, not certainty.

Which markets does it cover?

Major FX pairs and other key markets.

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